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2022 Big Ten Championship Game picks, odds: Michigan vs. Purdue prediction, best bets from proven model

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The Purdue Boilermakers will look to stun the second-ranked Michigan Wolverines when they meet in Saturday’s 2022 Big Ten Conference Championship Game in Indianapolis. The Boilermakers (8-4, 6-3), who last beat Michigan in 2009, finished the regular season with seven wins in their last nine games, including the past three. The Wolverines (12-0, 9-0), who won the East Division for the second year in a row, have beaten Purdue in each of the last four meetings. The Boilermakers are looking to win their ninth Big Ten title, but first since 2000.

Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. Purdue averages 406.5 yards per game, while Michigan averages 459.1. The Wolverines are favored by 15.5 points in the latest Purdue vs. Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 53. Before making any Michigan vs. Purdue picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Purdue vs. Michigan and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Michigan vs. Purdue:

  • Michigan vs. Purdue spread: Michigan -15.5
  • Michigan vs. Purdue over/under: 53 points 
  • Michigan vs. Purdue money line: Purdue +550, Michigan -800 
  • PUR: The Boilermakers are 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record 
  • MICH: The Wolverines are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six conference games 
  • Michigan vs. Purdue picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Why Michigan can cover

Senior Ronnie Bell is the Wolverines’ top receiver. He has 51 receptions for 687 yards (13.5 average) and two touchdowns, including a season-long reception of 49 yards. Bell had three catches for 46 yards (15.3 average) in the win at Ohio State. His best game was an 11-reception, 121-yard performance at Indiana on Oct. 8.

Also giving the passing game a boost is tight end Luke Schoonmaker, who is third on the team in receptions. He has 31 catches for 330 yards (10.6 average) and two TDs. His best game was a nine-catch, 67-yard and one touchdown performance at Indiana. He had seven receptions for 72 yards (10.3 average) and one TD in a 34-27 win over Maryland on Sept. 24.

Why Purdue can cover 

Sixth-year senior Aidan O’Connell has been one of the top quarterbacks in the nation the past two years. Dating back to last season, he is one of just nine quarterbacks to throw for at least 6,500 yards and 50 touchdowns. O’Connell has five career games with 400 yards passing and three touchdowns, the most by a Big Ten quarterback since 2000. In 32 games at Purdue, including 26 starts, O’Connell has thrown for 8,853 yards and 65 touchdowns.

Freshman running back Devin Mockobee leads the ground attack. He has carried 165 times for 849 yards (5.1 average) and eight touchdowns. He has had four games where he has rushed for 100 yards or more, including 178 yards on 30 carries and one touchdown against Nebraska on Oct. 15. He also has 23 receptions for 217 yards (9.4 average). Mockobee has earned Big Ten Freshman of the Week accolades twice this season, most recently following last week’s performance at Indiana.

How to make Purdue vs. Michigan picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting that the teams will combine for 61 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Michigan vs. Purdue? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Purdue vs. Michigan spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up nearly $2,500 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.

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